An independent Bitcoin research publication.
HalvingLens is an independent Bitcoin research publication founded by Ben Thompson. Its mission is to provide evidence-based historical Bitcoin cycle analysis — without hype, and without price predictions.
Why it exists
Most Bitcoin commentary is prediction, opinion and noise. HalvingLens does the opposite: it turns real price and cycle history into a calm, clear read on where the market sits today, set against every prior halving cycle. The goal is perspective, not forecasts.
What we publish
A short Morning Research Brief each day, a deeper Weekly Research report, and a growing library of original findings and cycle metrics. Every edition is dated and archived permanently.
Our approach — no hype, no predictions
Everything is educational historical context. We do not make price predictions, set price targets, or claim to call tops and bottoms. Where a number is modelled or estimated rather than live, we say so — see the methodology. Nothing here is financial advice.
Who it's for
Long-term Bitcoin investors and researchers who want evidence and context instead of hype — people who value being able to place today in the sweep of Bitcoin's history.
How the research is made
HalvingLens combines automated data with editorial interpretation. Market and cycle data are refreshed from public sources; the analysis then frames that data against prior cycles. The automated layer keeps the facts current and traceable; the editorial layer decides what matters and explains it plainly. The two are kept distinct — the methodology page sets out which figures are live, derived, modelled or editorial.
Who runs it
HalvingLens is founded and published by Ben Thompson, who works in data analytics and business intelligence (Power BI) and has followed Bitcoin's cycles as a long-term researcher. HalvingLens is publication-led: the focus is the research, published under a named, responsible editor.
Contact
Questions, corrections or press enquiries: brief@halvinglens.com.
Historical context. Not prediction. No price targets. Not financial advice.